Bitcoin 2013

Bitcoin 2013 Review (30th Oct 2025):

• Timeframe: Monthly
• MAs: SMA10 & SMA20
• Time: Bitcoin accumulated for 7 months, from April 2013 to October 2013
• Price: High Price was $268.67, Low Price was $51.29, Mid Price was $159.98

Split: If you split into 2 halves across middle month i.e. the 4th month

• First 3 months had mainly bearish candles
• Last 3 months had mainly bullish candles

Analysis:

• After ranging for 7 months, Q2 & Q3, price made a parabolic rise on 2nd month of Q4
• Ratio of High Price vs Opening Price was:
  • $1.177.19 / $203.69 = 5.7793

Bitcoin 2025

Bitcoin 2025 Review (30th Oct 2025):

• Timeframe: Monthly
• MAs: SMA10 & SMA20
• Time: Bitcoin accumulated for 11 months, from December 2024 to October 2025
• Price: High Price was $126,272, Low Price was $74,434, Mid Price was $100,353. Price has ranged/oscillated around mid price with +/- $25,919

Split: If you split into 2 halves across middle month i.e. the 6th month

• First 5 months had mainly bearish candles and below mid price.
• Last 5 months had mainly bullish candles and above mid price.

Analysis:

• After ranging for 11 months, with low price of range finding support at high price 2024 Q1 (Bull High 3):

  • Will price make a parabolic rise on 2nd month of Q4 like in 2023?
  • Will the Ratio of High Price vs Opening Price appl? i.e. 5.7793

  <aside> 💡

  Update: 1st Nov 2025

  Opening Price Nov 2025 ($109,487) * 5.7793 = $632,758

  </aside>

Bitcoin Higher Level Trend Review

Bitcoin 2021 to 2025

Bitcoin 2014 to 2022

Ref: https://x.com/sunilgurjar01/status/1998431287502397523?t=FTElGVAn-tkXylLx_hioKA&s=03

<aside> 💡

Update: 10th Dec 2025

</aside>

Data:

Based on Bitstamp data

Price level:

$93,347 is the price level to watch.

MA level study:

• Bullish to Peak:
  • SMA10 (Monthly) > SMA20 (Monthly)
  • Price > SMA10 (Monthly) && Price > SMA20 (Monthly)
• Bullish Pullback:
  • SMA10 (Monthly) > SMA20 (Monthly)
  • Price > SMA10 (Monthly) && Price > SMA20 (Monthly)
  • Price on downward trend
  • Use Accelerator and Awesome Oscillator to identify early
• Distribution / Support:
  • SMA10 (Monthly) > SMA20 (Monthly)
  • Price < SMA10 (Monthly) && Price > SMA20 (Monthly)
• Bearish Reversal (No Support):
  • SMA10 (Monthly) > SMA20 (Monthly)
  • Price < SMA10 (Monthly) && Price < SMA20 (Monthly)
  • Close below SMA20 (Monthly)
• Bearish to Bottom:
  • SMA10 (Monthly) < SMA20 (Monthly)
  • Price < SMA10 (Monthly) && Price < SMA20 (Monthly)
• Bearish Pullback
• Accumulation / Resistance:
• Bullish Reversal (No Resistance):

Bullish Year - Parabolic Lift Off

Ranging near ATHs - Buildup to Massive Bull

1. We are ranging near ATHs
2. Price is still above Midprice